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The Sun Also
Rises-- Again
After decades of setbacks, solar energy returns
and many believe that it's here to stay.
POPULAR MECHANICS
BY JOE PROVEY
September 2002
The dream of solar energy and what it implies--cheap
power, clean air, independence from foreign oil producers--has
been around for a long time. But now, the dream may
finally be coming true. Solar electricity, also called
photovoltaic (PV) energy, is fast becoming a viable
option for homeowners who want to generate their own
power. A technology developed to power satellites in
the 1950s, PV energy had been too expensive for most
residential applications until recently. Concerns with
rising energy costs, power disruptions, pollution and
global warming have combined with reductions in the
cost of PV cells, improved technology, government incentives
and solar-friendly legislation to make solar power shine
brighter than it has for decades.
Although the U.S. solar power industry went through
hard times in the last 25 years, it didn't die. Instead,
it retreated to overseas markets. In recent years, more
than 75 percent of American-produced solar cells--the
key component of a PV system--have been exported. Some
went to developing countries where photovoltaic systems
are used for lighting, powering telecommunications systems,
and pumping water for crop irrigation and domestic needs
in remote villages. Others went to industrial countries,
especially Japan and Germany, where there are strong
incentives to put solar electricity (and solar hot water)
in homes, schools, and commercial and municipal buildings.
As the technology improved, the solar industry began
to find niche markets in the United States, including
traffic control and message boards, TV, radio and cellular
repeater stations, and navigational buoys and beacons.
Add it all up and you have an industry approaching $4
billion in global sales.
By all accounts, PV energy won't stop there.
Allen Barnett, chief executive officer of AstroPower,
a fast-growing producer of solar cells and solar electric
power systems for residential applications, says that
the PV industry is growing by 25 to 30 percent a year.
AstroPower's capacity is growing faster to keep up with
demand. Plant expansions have brought the company's
production capability from 35 megawatts in 2000 (a megawatt
equals 1000 kilowatts, enough energy to power hundreds
of homes) to 110 megawatts projected by the end of 2002--a
total that would have been unthinkable just a few years
ago.
John Schaeffer, founder of Real Goods Trading Co. (now
called Gaiam Real Goods after a recent merger), has
been selling solar products for more than 20 years.
He confirms that the hot growth area today is on-site
generation of electricity--either by solar or wind power.
"Events such as Y2K, California's rolling blackouts
in 2000, recent spikes in energy costs and ongoing unrest
in the Middle East have spurred interest in self-sufficiency
and have also spurred growth."
National homebuilding companies have become interested
in adding PV to their homes' selling features. Shea
Homes, the 10th-largest builder in the United States,
and Pardee Homes are installing PV systems in hundreds
of new homes under construction in various San Diego
communities. U.S. Home, a division of Lennar Corp.,
plans to build more than 900 PV-energized homes in 2003
at its Bickford Ranch development near Sacramento.
There are cost efficiencies to integrating PV installations
with the normal workflow of home construction, according
to Jonathan Done, a spokesman for Shea. "We are
able to offer buyers systems for $6000 to $10,000, depending
upon the size, after Shea takes care of getting the
state rebates," he says, "and the homeowner
can take an additional 15 percent state income tax credit."
By comparison, installations on existing homes typically
cost 50 percent more. Home sales with PV have been brisk,
Done says. "The feature certainly does not hinder
sales, and may be helping."
In 2001, The Home Depot decided to offer packaged PV
systems, pre-engineered by AstroPower, at select outlets
in the San Diego area. The systems are sold under The
Home Depot's Installed Products program. If sales go
well, PV products may be rolled out to as many as 70
Home Depot stores in California and eventually to other
strong solar power markets across the country.
Net Metering
Another reason for the PV industry growth is "net
metering," a protocol that allows homeowners to
be credited for the electricity they produce. It works
like this: When a homeowner produces more electricity
than he or she is using--typically during the middle
of most weekdays when usage is low--it's fed back into
the power grid. In this reverse mode, the homeowner's
analog electric meter literally spins backward.
When usage outstrips production or when the sun sets
and rooftop electricity can no longer be produced, PV
homeowners draw from the utility company. But PV homeowners
on the net-metering system pay only for the net amount
of electricity they use. In effect, they are being credited
for their production at the same retail price they would
normally pay the utility company. In states with tiered
electric rates--where homeowners pay a higher rate per
kilowatt once their usage surpasses set thresholds--the
credit pays for the most costly kilowatt-hours.
In the dozen or so states where net-metering legislation
has not been enacted, homeowners may still connect to
the grid but they won't get credit for their excess
daytime production. Instead they will have to store
it in a bank of batteries. Batteries have been successfully
used for decades, but they add expense, lower system
efficiency, require maintenance and monitoring, and
introduce hazardous chemicals into the home environment.
To learn more about net metering in your state, visit www.dsireusa.org.
Another reason for the increasing interest in solar
electricity is steep reductions in the cost of PV cells--the
basic units from which PV solar modules are made. According
to Barnett of AstroPower, the cost for PV cells is halved
roughly every 10 years. Though manufactured from one
of the most common elements on Earth, silicon, solar
cells are not cheap. The retail cost is between $4.50
and $7 per watt of rated capacity, or about $600 for
one 100-watt module. The cost is high because the conventional
way of manufacturing cells is fairly complex. First,
large silicon crystals have to be grown, typically in
cylindrical forms. These ingots, or loaves, are then
sliced with lasers into wafers of pure crystal before
becoming the basis for a solar cell. Several companies
have developed ways to lower cost and speed production
of solar cells. They have, for example, found that it's
easier and less expensive to grow multicrystalline,
or polycrystalline, materials (masses of smaller crystals).
These cells are nearly as efficient as those made with
single crystals.
Other companies have experimented with thin-film technologies
in which silicon material is vaporized and deposited
in very thin layers on various substrates, including
glass and flexible backings. These amorphous solar cells
have opened the possibility for creating innovative
products, such as electricity-generating windows, roofing
and siding. While thin-film products are typically less
efficient than single- or multicrystalline cells, they
cost significantly less.
Two companies have found ways to produce multicrystalline
wafers in sheets--a sort of hybrid between crystalline
and thin-film technologies. These sheets eliminate the
need for slicing the material into wafers and enable
mass production of wafers. Evergreen Solar calls its
process "string ribbon" because it produces
wafers for solar cells by drawing molten silicon up
between two "strings." The resulting modules
are among the lowest priced in the industry. AstroPower's
version of this process, called Silicon-Film, is a continuous-flow
output of multicrystalline silicon wafers, and it has
the potential to cut panel costs in half, Barnett says.
Yet another development that has accelerated the growth
of solar electricity is government incentives. Many
states offer low-cost loans, sales and income tax deductions,
grants and rebates to homeowners choosing to take the
PV plunge. In New Jersey, homeowners receive a rebate
of up to 60 percent of the system cost, and they do
not pay sales tax on the purchase. In California, there
is a rebate of up to half the cost of the system and
a 15 percent income tax deduction on the net cost of
the system. In Idaho, there is no rebate, but the state
income tax credit for solar electric power is 40 percent
of the system's cost. In southeastern Pennsylvania,
there is a program that grants up to $8000 toward the
cost of a qualifying system.
Who Is Buying PV
The typical PV consumer is someone who is comfortable
with new technology and who lives in a state with lots
of sun, high electric rates and favorable government
incentives. Rick Elmore, a manager for a telecommunications
company who lives in Poway, Calif., could be a poster
child for the PV industry. Last summer, he signed up
for The Home Depot's pilot program to add a 2400-watt
AstroPower SunLine PV system to his 1750-sq.-ft. frame
and stucco house, which was built in 1975. Elmore says
he was an ideal candidate because he pays 13 cents per
kilowatt-hour, his home gets lots of sun, and he has
just enough area for 24 100-watt modules on his south-facing
roof. The installation, which, after rebate and tax
deduction, cost about $15,000, supplies nearly all of
his electrical needs. His most recent electric bill
was only $5.46. What's more, Elmore has fixed his electricity
costs. If the price of a kilowatt-hour rises in the
coming years, it will barely affect what he pays for
electricity.
There are still other reasons to buy a PV system. John
Rountree, an architect in Westport, Conn.,
who specializes in integrating solar PV systems in his
designs, says that solar electricity is attractive to
people who work from home and who can't afford to be
without power for even a day or two. He is a case in
point. When there was a power outage in his neighborhood
last year, the essential circuits in his home, including
his office, the refrigerator and home lighting, continued
to be powered by the sun and the battery backup system
he installed with his PV system. Rountree also drives
an electric car charged in part by the solar energy
he produces.
Everett Barber, a solar installer for 27 years with
Sunsearch in Guilford, Conn., says another group with
good reason to buy PV are those who purchase land that's
inexpensive because it's far from powerlines--often
just a couple of hundred dollars per acre. Instead of
paying the power company the $10 to $30 per foot it
costs to string new lines, they can invest in a PV system
with enough battery storage to serve their electrical
needs--and save tens of thousands of dollars on the
cost of their homes.
The Payback
How long it takes to see a return on your money depends
largely on the incentives offered in your state and
other variables such as system cost, usage, electric
rates, climate and the interest rate you obtain to finance
the setup.
It also depends upon how you figure your return on the
investment. For example, a 2.4-kilowatt system has a
net cost of $8500 in a new Shea home. It is projected
to save homeowners 50 percent on their electric bills.
If the owner can save $40 per month ($480 per year)
and has a mortgage rate of 6 or 7 percent, he or she
can finance the system with the savings on the electricity
bill. So, there is no cash-flow cost to the system and
as electric costs rise, the system will begin to save
the homeowner money.
A more traditional way to look at payback is by questioning
how long it will take to recoup the investment in savings.
In Rick Elmore's case, that would be about 10 to 12
years, assuming moderate increases in what his power
company charges for electricity--sooner if costs climb
faster. After that his electricity will be free for
the life of the system, which is estimated to be more
than 25 years.
In both of these scenarios, there's another factor to
consider: home equity. Installing a PV system, like
installing a bathroom or remodeling a kitchen, will
increase the resale value of a home. Although it's too
early to have statistics on just how much the equity
boost will be, it's a good bet that a PV investment
will be largely recouped if and when you sell your house.
One recent study by home appraisers pegs the value of
such a system at 20 times the number of dollars the
system saves per year. So, a PV system that generates
$480 in savings annually could add $9600 to the price
of the house.Is Your House A PV Candidate?
For a PV system to function well, you need at least
200 sq. ft. of south-facing roof area. (Southeast or
southwest will do.) It should not be obstructed or shaded
by trees, dormers, chimneys or other buildings and can
range in slope from flat to 60 degrees. For maximum
efficiency, modules should be tilted perpendicular to
the path of the sun (latitude plus 15° in winter
and latitude minus 15° in summer). Most residential
installations, however, sacrifice some efficiency because
they are installed at the existing roof slope using
fixed brackets--adjustable brackets add expense and
can be unsightly.
Climate also determines how well PV systems will work.
A 2400-watt setup will produce 290 kilowatt-hours per
month in Florida but only 180 in Michigan. Consult a
solar resource map to find out how much sunlight you
can expect in units of solar energy, called solar kilowatt-hours
per square meter per day (kwh/m2/day). It also will
tell you what to expect month to month. For example,
in Houston, Texas, the average radiation is a whopping
5.7 kwh/m2/day in August. In November it's only 2.4.
The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) has
compiled a solar radiation and climate map and data
tables for the United States. Its Web address is listed
below.
Choosing A System
Buying a PV solar system is a little like buying audio
equipment. You can put it together, component by component,
and end up with a system that's tailored precisely to
your needs, or you can buy a prepackaged system. While
a custom system may be able to squeeze every last watt
out of your situation, it will cost more and require
more technical help when specifying the components.
With a packaged system, you don't need to be a solar
engineer to ensure that all of the components match
up. Packaged systems are available through solar installers,
directly from manufacturers, and from the Gaiam Real
Goods/Jade Mountain catalog.
Typically, a rooftop residential system that can intertie
(be connected) to the power grid consists of between
four and 40 modules (watt output varies from 75 to 300
per module, with 100 or 120 being typical), roof mounts
and a power panel. The panel safely coordinates your
system with the power grid and includes an inverter
that converts the DC power you generate to AC, and other
items such as breakers, disconnects, combiner boxes,
panels, batteries, and a battery charger if the system
has backup capability.When it comes to sizing, don't
buy a system that's bigger than what you need. If, at
the end of the year, you have produced more energy than
you used, it must either be granted to your power company
or sold to them at a steeply discounted rate--unless
your state allows net metering. Chris Warfel, a solar
engineer who has installed dozens of PV systems in Rhode
Island, recommends either a 1600- or 2400-watt system
for most homeowners.
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